Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARB
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DUN
5 - 1
ICT
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
GLA
6 - 0
DUN
74%
16%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
HOM
2 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUM
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 2
LIV
43%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
STM
3 - 1
FAL
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 3
FAL
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
FAL
4 - 0
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |