Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
HAM
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
DUN
38%
25%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DUN
4 - 0
DUM
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 4
FAL
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 0
CWB
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
STE
0 - 1
FAL
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 1
HAM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LIV
2 - 1
FAL
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |