Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
HIB
3 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
DUN
1 - 4
STM
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1991 |
DUN
1 - 1
AIR
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
MHE
3 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
DUN
1 - 2
AIR
72%
17%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
FAL
0 - 4
DUN
35%
31%
34%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
FAL
1 - 2
HOM
29%
27%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
STJ
2 - 3
FAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
HIB
2 - 2
FAL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1991 |
FAL
0 - 2
GLA
34%
30%
37%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |