Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 4
DUN
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
RAI
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ALL
1 - 0
DUN
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 2
STE
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 3
STM
9%
18%
73%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
DUM
1 - 0
MHE
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |