Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
HIB
2 - 2
DUN
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
HAM
1 - 1
DUN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
HAM
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUM
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 2
STM
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DUM
1 - 2
QOS
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |