Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
1 - 3
DUN
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 1
DUN
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
CWB
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FAL
2 - 2
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUM
1 - 5
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CWB
0 - 1
DUM
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
DUM
4 - 1
THE
70%
18%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
DUM
3 - 4
AIR
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 2
FAL
28%
26%
47%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |