Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1975 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
DUN
1 - 2
PAR
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
ABE
1 - 1
DUN
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1974 |
CEL
2 - 1
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
DUN
2 - 2
AIR
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1975 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
CLY
1 - 3
DUM
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1974 |
DUM
0 - 1
MHE
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
HIB
2 - 0
DUM
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
STJ
3 - 0
DUM
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |