Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 4
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AIR
3 - 2
DUN
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 3
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 0
DUN
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
STR
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CWB
0 - 1
RAI
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CWB
1 - 1
HOM
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
ALL
3 - 0
CWB
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CWB
1 - 2
HOM
16%
24%
61%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CWB
1 - 2
LIV
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |