Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 0
HIB
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
GLA
4 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
HOM
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ABE
1 - 2
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
CWB
0 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CWB
0 - 1
QUE
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
CWB
3 - 0
ALL
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
THE
1 - 1
CWB
22%
25%
54%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MON
1 - 3
CWB
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |