Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
STE
1 - 2
DUN
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 4
DUN
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUN
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
7 - 1
STE
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
0 - 0
ICT
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
KIL
1 - 0
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 1
CEL
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 2
HIB
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
STJ
1 - 4
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 1
CEL
13%
19%
69%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | +1 |