Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 0
DUN
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 1
DUN
11%
19%
70%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
5 - 0
BUC
41%
23%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
EAS
0 - 2
DUN
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 1
KIL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 2
ROS
21%
22%
57%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 4
ALL
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 1
EAS
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
4 - 0
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 0
QUE
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |