Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
FAL
2 - 4
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 0
AYR
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
QOS
0 - 0
DUN
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 0
GRE
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 1
DUN
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ALL
2 - 0
QOS
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
ALL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
FAL
2 - 2
ALL
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ALL
0 - 1
ROS
25%
26%
50%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |