Dunfermline Athletic FC vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
STJ
6 - 2
DUN
78%
13%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
DUN
0 - 2
EAS
67%
17%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1937 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
61%
20%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1937 |
MHE
6 - 0
DUN
84%
10%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
DUN
3 - 4
CEL
30%
22%
48%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
EAS
6 - 0
ALL
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1946 |
ALL
0 - 0
STJ
28%
22%
50%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
HAM
2 - 0
ALL
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
ALL
1 - 1
GRE
13%
19%
68%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
AYR
1 - 1
ALL
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |