Dunedin vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 0
MAN
32%
24%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 5
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
EAU
4 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 0
TCU
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
CAN
3 - 0
NAP
37%
23%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 2
NSH
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CAV
0 - 2
NAP
19%
21%
61%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 2
CEN
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAN
4 - 2
NAP
37%
23%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |