Dunedin vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
55.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
CAN
5 - 2
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DUN
4 - 1
CEN
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
WAI
2 - 2
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 2
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
TCU
2 - 0
DUN
62%
21%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
NAP
4 - 2
WAI
71%
17%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
MIR
40%
25%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 3
NAP
36%
23%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
NSH
4 - 2
NAP
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CAN
2 - 2
NAP
32%
24%
45%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |