Dunedin vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEN
7 - 0
DUN
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CHR
3 - 2
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 4
MTW
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MET
2 - 3
DUN
35%
25%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
2 - 1
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
NAP
2 - 2
MIR
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MTW
1 - 2
NAP
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
1 - 3
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
TCU
3 - 5
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
NAP
0 - 3
MAN
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |