Dunedin vs Mt. Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 0
DUN
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CEN
1 - 1
DUN
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 0
WAI
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 2
CAN
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
NSH
2 - 0
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 1
WAI
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
4 - 2
TCU
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NAP
4 - 0
MTW
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MTW
1 - 1
MIR
36%
24%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
MTW
0 - 3
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |