Dunedin vs Mt. Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MET
2 - 3
DUN
35%
25%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
2 - 1
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 3
MIR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
TCU
1 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
MET
3 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MTW
0 - 0
TCU
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MAN
1 - 2
MTW
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
MIR
1 - 2
MTW
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
MTW
4 - 1
MET
73%
16%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
MTW
0 - 2
CEN
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |