Dunedin vs Mt. Wellington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
CEN
1 - 5
DUN
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
DUN
3 - 0
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
DUN
0 - 2
NAP
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
FCN
2 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
WAI
2 - 1
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mt. Wellington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
MTW
5 - 0
FCN
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
MTW
1 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
WAI
0 - 0
MTW
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CHR
0 - 0
MTW
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
MIR
2 - 3
MTW
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |