Dunedin vs Metro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 2
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MIR
3 - 1
DUN
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
DUN
8 - 1
NAP
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
CEN
7 - 0
DUN
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CHR
3 - 2
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
CHR
2 - 3
MET
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
MET
1 - 3
MTW
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MIR
5 - 0
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
MET
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
TCU
4 - 0
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |