Dunedin vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
ROW
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 4
ROW
81%
13%
7%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | -4 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DUN
5 - 1
OBA
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 2
ROW
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
GIA
5 - 3
CAV
10%
18%
71%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
ROW
1 - 6
GIA
44%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
GIA
2 - 1
MOS
44%
21%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MOS
6 - 2
GIA
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -6 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
NSF
1 - 0
GIA
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |