Dunedin vs Caversham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ROW
0 - 1
DUN
16%
18%
66%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 2
NAF
95%
4%
1%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
MOS
5 - 1
DUN
19%
19%
63%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -3 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 9
QUE
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
OTU
2 - 0
DUN
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
NAF
0 - 5
CAV
4%
9%
88%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
ROW
2 - 1
CAV
7%
12%
80%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CAV
1 - 1
MOS
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
QUE
2 - 9
CAV
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CAV
1 - 4
OTU
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |