Dunedin vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
DUN
92%
5%
2%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
DUN
52%
20%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
FER
52%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GIA
4 - 1
SUF
62%
18%
20%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
6 - 2
GIA
29%
20%
52%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 1
GIA
94%
4%
2%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
3 - 4
NSF
36%
21%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 1
COA
55%
19%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |