Dunedin vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
26
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
DUN
40%
21%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
NOM
62%
18%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 6
AUC
3%
8%
89%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 1
NSF
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
NSF
40%
22%
39%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
COA
38%
22%
41%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FER
3 - 2
GIA
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
3 - 1
FER
28%
21%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |