Dunedin vs Cashmere Technical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
82.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
6.7%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
4.4%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.9%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
5º
4º
39
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 7
DUN
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FER
4 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 3
NSF
41%
21%
38%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cashmere Technical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
SUF
95%
4%
1%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
85%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
COA
92%
6%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 3
CHR
57%
19%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |