Dundee vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STM
0 - 0
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 4
ARB
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 2
DUN
28%
27%
45%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
FAL
0 - 3
DUN
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
DUN
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 0
PET
76%
16%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
EDI
0 - 1
DUN
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 2
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 5
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |