Dundee vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
ABE
19%
25%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
STM
2 - 1
DUN
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
BRE
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
29%
24%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 0
AYR
13%
17%
70%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ICT
0 - 0
AYR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AYR
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
AYR
37%
24%
39%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AYR
5 - 0
STE
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |