Dundee vs Aberdeen analysis

Dundee Aberdeen
74 ELO 78
18.3% Tilt 3.2%
714º General ELO ranking 493º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39%
Dundee
25.2%
Draw
35.7%
Aberdeen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
Dundee
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.7%
Win probability
Aberdeen
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Dundee
Their league position
Aberdeen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
35
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Celtic
78
78
100%
Rangers
75
75
100%
Heart of Midlothian
62
62
100%
Kilmarnock
51
51
100%
St. Mirren
43
43
100%
Dundee
41
41
100%
Hibernian FC
39
39
100%
Motherwell
37
37
100%
Aberdeen
35
35
100%
St. Johnstone
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Ross County FC
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Livingston
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dundee
Aberdeen
Play-offs for the title
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%

ELO progression

Dundee
Aberdeen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
DUN
Dundee
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
44%
27%
30%
73 78 5 0
28 Feb. 2024
CEL
Celtic
7 - 1
Dundee
DUN
71%
18%
12%
74 82 8 -1
24 Feb. 2024
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 1
Dundee
DUN
55%
23%
22%
74 78 4 0
17 Feb. 2024
DUN
Dundee
2 - 0
Ross County FC
ROS
64%
21%
16%
73 66 7 +1
11 Feb. 2024
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
St. Johnstone
STJ
61%
22%
17%
72 68 4 +1

Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2024
ABE
Aberdeen
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
51%
25%
24%
77 78 1 0
02 Mar. 2024
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Aberdeen
ABE
32%
28%
40%
78 75 3 -1
28 Feb. 2024
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
67%
21%
12%
78 67 11 0
24 Feb. 2024
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
42%
26%
32%
79 78 1 -1
17 Feb. 2024
ABE
Aberdeen
2 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
44%
25%
31%
78 78 0 +1