Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-3
Dundalk vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
SHR
0 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
DUN
3 - 1
JEU
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
JEU
0 - 2
DUN
28%
24%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
DER
2 - 2
DUN
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
DUN
0 - 0
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
FCR
1 - 1
HKS
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
HKS
0 - 3
KUB
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
DZG
1 - 0
HKS
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
HKS
4 - 2
OSI
64%
22%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
63%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |