Dundalk vs Cobh Ramblers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
1º
45
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 64 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 46 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 39 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 33 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
88.5% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 91.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
UCD
0 - 1
DUN
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
3 - 0
WEX
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
3 - 0
NEU
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 22 | 54 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 1
LON
80%
15%
5%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
BRW
1 - 3
DUN
20%
26%
55%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Cobh Ramblers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
COB
1 - 3
WEX
40%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
BRW
2 - 1
COB
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
FIN
1 - 2
COB
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
COB
5 - 0
LON
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |