UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 3-1
Dundalk vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
FHH
2 - 2
DUN
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
FHH
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
LON
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2016 |
DER
0 - 5
DUN
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
DIN
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
1 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
SEI
2 - 2
BAT
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
BAT
2 - 0
SEI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ISL
1 - 3
BAT
28%
27%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |