Dunbeholden vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
MPA
2 - 1
DFC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
DFC
0 - 1
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
DFC
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
DFC
1 - 1
LIO
38%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
HAR
1 - 2
DFC
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
ARN
1 - 1
WAT
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 2
MPA
62%
23%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
WAT
4 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIO
1 - 2
WAT
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
WAT
3 - 1
HAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |