Scottish Cup 1/64
Global 2-3
Dunbar United vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
46.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
TRA
11%
18%
72%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 2
DUN
49%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 1
IHS
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAM
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 0
DUN
20%
20%
60%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRX
3 - 3
LOT
50%
20%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
LOT
4 - 1
CAM
62%
18%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
LOT
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
LOT
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOT
2 - 2
AFC
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |