Dunbar United vs Lothian Hutchison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
81.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
6.6%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
7%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
12.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.7%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.6%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MUS
3 - 1
DUN
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 0
DUN
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
TRA
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
JSW
3 - 0
DUN
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 0
DUN
89%
9%
3%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Lothian Hutchison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 1
LOT
55%
20%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LIN
2 - 3
LOT
38%
23%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
LOT
1 - 3
SJU
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 3
LOT
19%
17%
64%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LOT
2 - 0
HBH
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |