Dunav Ruse vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 2
KAL
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAN
0 - 2
DUN
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 0
ROD
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVA
3 - 1
DUN
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 0
SPA
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
NES
4 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 3
NES
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
NES
3 - 1
SVA
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
NES
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NES
3 - 2
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |