Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BVR
1 - 0
DUN
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DUN
3 - 0
FKV
71%
20%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 2
LPL
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
CVA
3 - 2
DUN
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 0
LPL
30%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
CSK
3 - 0
FKV
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LPL
0 - 1
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CSK
3 - 1
FKV
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
CSK
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CSK
3 - 0
ETA
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |