Dunav Ruse vs Chernolomets 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SHU
2 - 1
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 0
HIM
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 1
DUN
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
7 - 0
VEL
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 1
DUN
15%
23%
62%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 3
BEN
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 6
CHE
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
SEP
36%
27%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
4 - 0
BOT
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |