Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 0-0
Dunamis vs Atlético Samborondón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
0 - 0
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
LDU
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LDU
1 - 2
DUN
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
QUI
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
DUN
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Samborondón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
0 - 0
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDY
1 - 2
ATS
7%
12%
81%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 0
CDY
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
ATS
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATS
1 - 1
GRE
22%
27%
52%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |