Dunărea Călăraşi vs Înainte Modelu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
28
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AXI
0 - 1
DUN
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
RGD
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOR
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 0
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FET
1 - 3
DUN
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Înainte Modelu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
IMO
4 - 0
FET
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 2
IMO
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
IMO
31%
22%
46%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
IMO
0 - 0
GLO
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
IMO
2 - 0
ACP
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |