Dunărea Călăraşi vs Înainte Modelu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
7º
30
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAC
0 - 0
DUN
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 5
UNI
12%
19%
70%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
9 - 0
AMA
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 1
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 2
DUN
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Înainte Modelu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
3 - 1
CSG
47%
21%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AFU
3 - 1
IMO
92%
7%
2%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
IMO
2 - 2
GLO
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
IMO
1 - 2
DUN
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RGD
1 - 2
IMO
55%
21%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |