Dunărea Călăraşi vs CSM Medgidia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
15
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GLO
3 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
IMO
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AXI
0 - 1
DUN
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
RGD
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOR
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
CSM Medgidia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
5 - 1
FET
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 0
CSM
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
3 - 4
ACP
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSM
0 - 0
GLO
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
IMO
31%
22%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |