Dunărea Călăraşi vs Axiopolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
19
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
RGD
4 - 1
DUN
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
DUN
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 2
DUN
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 0
DUN
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CSD
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Axiopolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AXI
3 - 1
FET
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AXI
0 - 1
GLO
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
VOL
3 - 3
AXI
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
AXI
1 - 1
GLO
54%
20%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RGD
2 - 0
AXI
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |