Dunărea Călăraşi vs Aversa Bucharest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
CAL
2 - 4
DUN
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
DUN
1 - 2
PCO
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
CSO
4 - 2
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 0
VIN
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
2 - 1
DUN
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aversa Bucharest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
CAB
2 - 1
PCO
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2007 |
SBU
4 - 0
CAB
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
VIN
2 - 1
CAB
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 2
ABS
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
ROC
2 - 0
CAB
79%
15%
6%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |