Dunărea Călăraşi vs Agricola Borcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
3º
2º
44
2º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
AFU
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
DUN
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARG
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AFU
2 - 1
DUN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Agricola Borcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
AFU
3 - 0
BOR
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
2 - 3
ARG
13%
20%
68%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
DUN
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 5
AFU
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 2
BOR
78%
14%
7%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |