Dunărea Călăraşi vs Afumati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
3º
2º
67
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
DUN
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
ARG
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AFU
2 - 1
DUN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
BOR
56%
20%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLO
68%
17%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Afumati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
AFU
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 5
AFU
10%
16%
74%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AFU
2 - 1
DUN
86%
10%
4%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AFU
4 - 0
ARG
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AFU
2 - 1
ACP
85%
10%
5%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |