Dunărea Călăraşi vs Afumati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
7º
45
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 30 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
DUN
27%
22%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 3
RGD
76%
14%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BOR
3 - 1
DUN
13%
19%
69%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -3 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 0
IMO
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAC
0 - 0
DUN
39%
23%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Afumati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AFU
3 - 1
CSG
89%
8%
3%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AFU
1 - 0
VOL
90%
8%
3%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GLO
0 - 3
AFU
8%
15%
76%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
AFU
0 - 3
RAP
13%
18%
69%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AFU
1 - 2
RGD
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |