Dunărea Călăraşi vs Progresul Fundulea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+114%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
4º
2º
15
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 3
DUN
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
SBU
7%
15%
79%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
GLO
3 - 4
DUN
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 1
IMO
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 3
DUN
8%
14%
79%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Progresul Fundulea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ACP
2 - 0
IMO
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AXI
0 - 1
ACP
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
4 - 1
ACP
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 0
CSD
6%
15%
79%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | +4 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
AFI
0 - 3
ACP
20%
19%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |