Dumiense FC vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
50
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 2
VPE
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
DUM
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FAM
4 - 1
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 2
PED
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
3 - 1
PEV
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIA
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRI
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 2
VIA
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 1
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |