Dumbarton vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 0
HIB
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1921 |
DUM
4 - 1
FAL
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
DUM
2 - 0
MHE
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
KIL
4 - 1
DUM
75%
15%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
DUM
1 - 2
AIR
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
AIR
1 - 3
TLA
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
HOM
3 - 0
TLA
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1921 |
TLA
1 - 2
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
TLA
0 - 2
HIB
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
QUE
0 - 1
TLA
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |