Dumbarton vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
40.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1894 |
STB
5 - 0
DUM
58%
21%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1894 |
DUM
1 - 0
GLA
30%
22%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1894 |
TLA
6 - 3
DUM
65%
18%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1894 |
DUM
2 - 3
CLY
70%
17%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1894 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUM
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1895 |
CEL
4 - 4
TLA
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1895 |
GLA
0 - 1
TLA
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1894 |
TLA
7 - 1
LEI
71%
16%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1894 |
STM
2 - 0
TLA
41%
21%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1894 |
TLA
6 - 3
DUM
65%
18%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |